{"id":1751,"date":"2014-12-24T15:27:14","date_gmt":"2014-12-24T06:27:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=1751"},"modified":"2014-12-24T15:27:14","modified_gmt":"2014-12-24T06:27:14","slug":"%eb%a7%88%ec%9d%b4%ed%81%ac-%ed%8a%b8%eb%9d%bc%ec%9b%83%ec%9d%98-2015%eb%85%84-%ec%84%b1%ec%a0%81%ec%9d%80","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=1751","title":{"rendered":"\ub9c8\uc774\ud06c \ud2b8\ub77c\uc6c3\uc758 2015\ub144 \uc131\uc801\uc740?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=267\">\uc774\uc804\uc5d0 Marcel\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc131\uc801 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uc18c\uac1c\ud55c\uc801\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/a> \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 Marcel\uc744 \ube44\ub86f\ud558\uc5ec \uc774\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc778 ZiPS, Oliver, PECOTA, Steamer \ub4f1\uc744 \uc18c\uac1c\ud558\ub824\uace0 \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc120\uc218\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0\uc790 \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uad81\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \ubc14\uac00 \uac19\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uadf8 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc608\uce21\ub825\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub420\uae4c?<\/p>\n<p>\uc6b0\uc120 Marcel\uc740 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.tangotiger.net\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Tom Tango<\/a>\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uace0\uc548\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c, \uac00\uc7a5 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc9c1\uad00\uc801\uc778 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc 3\ub144\uac04\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc911\uce58\ub97c \ubd80\uc5ec\ud558\uc5ec \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uacc4\uc0b0\ud558\uace0, \uc774\ub97c \uc120\uc218\uc758 \ub098\uc774 \ub4f1\uc73c\ub85c \uc801\uc808\ud788 \ubcf4\uc0c1\ud55c\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uadf8\uc5d0 \ubc18\ud574 \uc218\uc900\uae09\uc758 \uc608\uce21\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uba54\uc774\uc800\ub9ac\uadf8\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uacbd\ub825\uc774 \uc5b4\ub290\uc815\ub3c4 \uc788\ub294 \uc120\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub9cc \uc608\uce21\uc774 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2e8\uc810\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.baseballthinkfactory.org\/oracle\/discussion\/2011_zips_projections_-_tampa_bay_rays\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">ZiPS(sZymborski Projection System)\ub294 Dan Szymborski\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uace0\uc548\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c,<\/a> Marcel\uacfc\ub294 \ub2ec\ub9ac \ucd5c\uadfc 4\ub144\uac04\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc120\uc218\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \ud3c9\uade0\uac12\uc73c\ub85c \ud68c\uadc0\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294\ub370 \uc788\uc5b4 <a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=1080\">BABIP<\/a> \uc131\ubd84\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc989, BABIP\uc740 \uc5f0\ub3c4\ubcc4 \ubcc0\ub3d9\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ubbc0\ub85c \ub0b4\ub144 \uc131\uc801 \uc608\uce21\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ub0ae\uc740 \ube44\uc728\ub85c \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, Marcel\uc640 \ub2ec\ub9ac <a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=213\">\uc5f0\ub839 \uace1\uc120(Aging curve)<\/a>\uc744 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc120\uc218\uc758 \uae30\ub7c9 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ube44\uad50 \uc801\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ubc18\uc601\ud55c\ub2e4. Marcel\ubcf4\ub2e4 \uacc4\uc0b0 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ub3c4\ub294 \ub192\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uadf8\ub9cc\ud07c \uc815\ubc00\ud55c \uc608\uce21\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.hardballtimes.com\/introducing-oliver\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Oliver\ub294 Brain Cartwright\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uace0\uc548\ub41c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c,<\/a> Marcel\ucc98\ub7fc \ucd5c\uadfc 3\ub144\uac04\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc774\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub9c8\ucc2c\uac00\uc9c0\ub85c \ub098\uc774, \ud30c\ud06c\ud329\ud130 \ub4f1\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uc600\uc73c\uba70, \uc5f0\ub3c4\ubcc4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ub9e4\ub144 \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\ub9ac\uadf8\/\uba54\uc774\uc800\ub9ac\uadf8 \uac04 \uc218\uc900 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \uc880 \ub354 \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \ubcf4\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/PECOTA\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">PECOTA(Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm)\ub294 \ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ubcfc \ud504\ub85c\uc2a4\ud399\ud130\uc2a4\uc758 Nate Silver\uac00 \uace0\uc548\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c,<\/a> \uc5ec\ud0c0 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\ucc98\ub7fc \ucd5c\uadfc \uc5f0\ub3c4\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uac00\uc911 \ud3c9\uade0\ud558\uc5ec \uc608\uce21\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \ud574\ub2f9 \uc120\uc218\uc640 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc720\uc0ac\ud588\ub358 \uc120\uc218\ub97c \ucc3e\uc544\uc11c \uc131\uc801\uc744 \ube44\uad50\/\uc608\uce21\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \uc815\ubc00\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/steamerprojections.com\/blog\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Steamer\ub294 Jared Cross, Dash Davidson, Peter Rosenbloom\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \uace0\uc548\ub41c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774\ub2e4.<\/a> Marcel\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub098 \uc131\ubd84\ubcc4\ub85c \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc218\ub97c \uac01\uac01 \ub2e4\ub974\uac8c \ubd80\uc5ec\ud558\uc5ec \uc608\uce21\ub825\uc744 \ub192\uc778\ub2e4. \uac1c\uc778\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 Marcel\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc120\ud638\ud558\ub294 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774\ub2e4.\u00a0\ucc38\uace0\ub85c \ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\ub2f7\ucef4\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/projections.aspx?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;type=steamer600\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Steamer600<\/a> \uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \uc81c\uacf5\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \uc774\ub294 Steamer\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uac12\uc744 \uc815\ud574\uc9c4 \ud0c0\uc11d \uae30\ud68c(600\ud0c0\uc11d \ub610\ub294 200\uc774\ub2dd \ub4f1)\ub85c \uc870\uc815\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/fantasy\/chone-projections\/\" rel=\"noopener\">CHONE\uc740 Sean Smith\uac00 \uace0\uc548\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c,<\/a>\u00a0\uc5ed\uc2dc Marcel\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ucd5c\uadfc 4\ub144\uac04\uc758 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 \ud0c0\uad6c\ubcc4 \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\ub9ac\uadf8 \uc131\uc801\uae4c\uc9c0 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uc5ec \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \ub9ac\uadf8 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \uace0\ub824\ud55c\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\uac00 \ub192\uc740 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc73c\ub85c \uc54c\ub824\uc838 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, 2011\ub144 Sean Smith\uac00 \uba54\uc774\uc800\ub9ac\uadf8 \uad6c\ub2e8\uc5d0 \uc18c\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c \ud574\ub2f9 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \ub354 \uc774\uc0c1 \uc720\ud6a8\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uac8c \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc9c0\uae08\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uac04\ub7b5\ud558\uac8c \uc18c\uac1c\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc704 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uc5b4\ub290\uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c\uae4c? <a href=\"http:\/\/www.insidethebook.com\/ee\/index.php\/site\/article\/testing_the_2007_2010_forecasting_systems_official_results\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\uc774\uc640 \uad00\ub828\ud558\uc5ec\uc11c Tom Tango\ub294 \uc774\ubbf8 2011\ub144\uc5d0 \uc815\ubc00\ud55c \ube44\uad50 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \uc218\ud589\ud588\ub294\ub370,<\/a> \ub2f9\uc2dc CHONE\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc815\ud655\ud588\uace0, \uadf8 \uc678 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uac04\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4. \uc120\uc218\ub4e4\uc758 <a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=155\">wOBA<\/a>\ub97c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c, \uc2e4\uc81c \uc131\uc801\uacfc \uc608\uce21\ub41c \uac12\uc758 \ud3c9\uade0\uc801\uc778 \uc624\ucc28(root mean square error)\ub294 0.025~0.045 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ud55c\ud3b8, Dan Meyer\ub294 \uc5bc\ub9c8\uc804 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5 \ube44\uad50 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uc9c4\ud589\ud558\uace0, \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c <a href=\"http:\/\/www.hardballtimes.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\ub354\ud558\ub4dc\ubcfc\ud0c0\uc784\uc988<\/a>\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. Tom Tango\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud558\uac8c wOBA\uc758 \uc624\ucc28\ub97c \ubc14\ud0d5\uc73c\ub85c \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc, ZiPS(.0274), Steamer(.0277), PECOTA(.0279), Oliver(.0280), Marcel(.0289) \uc21c\uc758 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uadf8 \uc624\ucc28 \uc218\uc900\uc774 0.0274~0.0289 \uc774\uace0, \uc0d8\ud50c\uc758 \ud0c0\uc785\ubcc4\ub85c \uacb0\uacfc\uac00 \ud06c\uac8c \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0, \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \uc131\ub2a5\uc5d0 \ud070 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc5c6\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd10\uc57c\uaca0\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uba54\uc774\uc800\ub9ac\uadf8 \uacbd\ud5d8\uc774 \uac70\uc758 \uc5c6\ub294 \uc2e0\uc778 \uc120\uc218 \uc131\uc801 \uc608\uce21\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4\uc11c\ub294 Steamer(.0282), ZiPS(.0290), Oliver(.0293), PECOTA(.0303), Marcel(.0346) \uc21c\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. Steamer\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub0ac\uc73c\uba70 Marcel\uc758 \uc57d\uc810\uc774 \ud06c\uac8c \ub450\ub4dc\ub7ec\uc84c\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uba54\uc774\uc800\ub9ac\uadf8 \uc131\uc801\uc774 \uc5b4\ub290\uc815\ub3c4 \uc788\ub294(300~1800 \ud0c0\uc11d) \uc120\uc218\uc758 \uacbd\uc6b0\ub294, PECOTA(0.0273), ZiPS(0.0278), Oliver(.0282), Steamer(.0285), Marcel(.0296) \uc21c\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c \uba54\uc774\uc800\ub9ac\uadf8 \ud480\ud0c0\uc784\uc744 3\uc2dc\uc98c \uc774\uc0c1 \uce58\ub978 \ubca0\ud14c\ub791 \uc120\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c\ub294 ZiPS(.0269), Steamer(.0271), Marcel(.0271), Oliver(.0276), PECOTA(.0278) \uc21c\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\uc73c\uba70 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ud070 \uc131\ub2a5 \ucc28\uc774\uac00 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ubd80\ubd84\uc758 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \uba54\uc774\uc800\ub9ac\uadf8 \uacbd\ub825\uc774 \ub9ce\uc740 \uc120\uc218\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c \ub192\uc740 \uc608\uce21\ub825\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. wOBA \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ud3c9\uade0\uc801\uc778 \uc624\ucc28\uac00 0.027 \uc218\uc900\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. Marcel \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\ub3c4 \uba54\uc774\uc800\ub9ac\uadf8 \uacbd\ub825\uc774 \ub108\ubb34 \uc801\uc740 \uc120\uc218\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c\uba74, \uadf8 \uc608\uce21\ub825\uc740 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc815\uad50\ud55c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uacfc \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc784\uc744 \uc54c \uc218 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 Marcel\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec 2015\ub144 \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c \ud2b8\ub77c\uc6c3\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud574\ubcf4\uc790. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fangraphs.com\/fantasy\/why-we-hate-marcel\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Marcel\uc740 2012\ub144\uc758 \uc2e0\uc778\uc774\uc5c8\ub358 \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c \ud2b8\ub77c\uc6c3\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud558\ub294\ub370 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc2e4\ud328\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc<\/a>, \uc9c0\uae08\uc740 \uc774\ubbf8\u00a03\ub144\uc758 \ud480\ud0c0\uc784 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc744 \uce58\ub918\uc73c\ubbc0\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uc131\uc801 \uc608\uce21\uc774 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\uc758 3\ub144\uac04 \ud0c0\uc728\/\ucd9c\ub8e8\uc728\/\uc7a5\ud0c0\uc728\/wOBA\ub97c \ucd5c\uadfc \uc5f0\ub3c4 \uc21c\uc73c\ub85c \uac01\uac01 5:4:3\uc758 \uac00\uc911\uce58\ub97c \ubd80\uc5ec\ud558\uc5ec \ud3c9\uade0\uac12\uc744 \uad6c\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\uba74 .309\/.401\/.560\/.411\uc774 \uc5bb\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac12\uc744 <a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=267\">\uadf8\uc758 \uc2e0\ub8b0\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc218(.874)\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub9ac\uadf8 \ud3c9\uade0\uac12\uc73c\ub85c \ud68c\uadc0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba74<\/a> .302\/.390\/.540\/.399\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac12\uc740 \uc5b4\ub290\uc815\ub3c4 \ub178\uc774\uc988\uac00 \uc81c\uac70\ub41c \uc2e4\uc81c \ub9c8\uc774\ud06c \ud2b8\ub77c\uc6c3 \uc131\uc801\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uac12\uc77c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8, \uc774 \uac12\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \uadf8\uc758 \uc5f0\ub839\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uc5ec \uc870\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5f0\ub839\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc131\uc801 \uc870\uc815\uac12\uc740 \ub2e4\uc74c\uacfc \uac19\uc774 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>29\uc138 \ubbf8\ub9cc: ( 29 &#8211; Age ) x .006<\/li>\n<li>29\uc138 \uc774\uc0c1: ( Age &#8211; 29 ) x .003<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\uadf8\ub294 \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0 23\uc0b4\uc774\ubbc0\ub85c \uc870\uc815\uac12\uc740 +3.6%\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \uac10\uc548\ud55c \uadf8\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc740\u00a0.313\/.404\/.560\/.413\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uad6c\uc7a5\uc740 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c \ud2b9\ubcc4\ud788 <a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=960\">\ud30c\ud06c\ud329\ud130<\/a> \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \uacb0\uad6d \ucd5c\uc885 \uc608\uce21\ub41c\u00a0\ub9c8\uc774\ud06c \ud2b8\ub77c\uc6c3\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc740 \ud0c0\uc728\/\ucd9c\ub8e8\uc728\/\uc7a5\ud0c0\uc728\uc774 \uac01\uac01 .313\/.404\/.560\uc774\uace0 wOBA\ub294 .413\uc774\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8, Steamer\ub294 \uadf8\ub97c .297\/.393\/.537\uacfc .403\uc758 wOBA\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub458\uc758 \ud070 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \uc544\ubb34\ub798\ub3c4 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \ub9ac\uadf8 \uc218\uc900\uc5d0\uc11c \uae30\uc778\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744\uae4c \uc2f6\ub2e4. \uc704\uc758 \ub0b4 \uacc4\uc0b0\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 AL\uc5d0\u00a0\ub300\ud55c \ucd5c\uadfc 3\ub144\uac04\uc758 \uc5f0\ub3c4\ubcc4 \uac00\uc911\uce58\ub97c \ubd80\uc5ec\ud558\uc5ec \ub0b4\ub144 \ub9ac\uadf8 \ud3c9\uade0\uac12\uc744 \ub3c4\ucd9c\ud588\ub294\ub370, \ub9cc\uc77c \ub9ac\uadf8 \ub0b4\ub144 \ud3c9\uade0\uc744 \uc62c \uc2dc\uc98c \ub9ac\uadf8 \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc815\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub610\ub294 AL\/NL\ub97c \ud1b5\ud569\ud558\uc5ec \ud3c9\uade0\uac12\uc744 \ub3c4\ucd9c\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 \uadf8\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc740 \uc880 \ub354 \ub0ae\uac8c \uc608\uce21\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.\u00a0\uc5b4\ucc0c\ub410\uac74 \uadf8\uc758 \ub0b4\ub144 \uc131\uc801\uc740 .400~.410\uc758 wOBA\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ub41c\ub2e4. \uacfc\uc5f0 \ub610 \ub2e4\ub978 MVP \uc2dc\uc98c\uc744 \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5b4\ub0bc \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uc9c0 \ub0b4\ub144\uc5d0 \uc9c0\ucf1c\ubd10\uc57c\uaca0\ub2e4.\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc774\uc804\uc5d0 Marcel\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc131\uc801 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uc18c\uac1c\ud55c\uc801\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ubc88\uc5d0\ub294 Marcel\uc744 \ube44\ub86f\ud558\uc5ec \uc774\uc640 \uc720\uc0ac\ud55c \ub2e4\ub978 \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc778 ZiPS, Oliver, PECOTA, Steamer \ub4f1\uc744 \uc18c\uac1c\ud558\ub824\uace0 \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc120\uc218\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0\uc790 \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uad81\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \ubc14\uac00 \uac19\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uadf8 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5b4 \ucc28\uc774\ub97c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubc29\ubc95\uc744 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uc608\uce21\ub825\uc740 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub420\uae4c? \uc6b0\uc120 Marcel\uc740 Tom &#8230; <a title=\"\ub9c8\uc774\ud06c \ud2b8\ub77c\uc6c3\uc758 2015\ub144 \uc131\uc801\uc740?\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=1751\" aria-label=\"\ub9c8\uc774\ud06c \ud2b8\ub77c\uc6c3\uc758 2015\ub144 \uc131\uc801\uc740?\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uc138\uc694\">\ub354 \uc77d\uae30<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[440,1682,191,503,1392,1683,464,61,14,399,63,465],"class_list":["post-1751","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research","tag-440","tag-chone","tag-marcel","tag-mvp","tag-oliver","tag-pecota","tag-projection-system","tag-steamer","tag-woba","tag-zips","tag-63","tag-465"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1751","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1751"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1751\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1751"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1751"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1751"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}