{"id":1956,"date":"2015-03-14T16:32:15","date_gmt":"2015-03-14T07:32:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=1956"},"modified":"2015-03-14T16:32:15","modified_gmt":"2015-03-14T07:32:15","slug":"%ed%88%ac%ec%88%98%ec%9d%98-%ec%8b%a4%ec%a0%9c-%eb%8a%a5%eb%a0%a5%ec%9d%84-%ea%b0%80%ec%9e%a5-%ec%9e%98-%eb%82%98%ed%83%80%eb%82%b4%eb%8a%94-%ec%a7%80%ed%91%9c-cfip","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=1956","title":{"rendered":"\ud22c\uc218\uc758 \uc2e4\uc81c \ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc798 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c – cFIP"},"content":{"rendered":"

\t\t\t\t\uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc218\uc758 \uc2e4\ub825\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c kwERA, FIP, xFIP, pFIP, SIERA, TIPS \ub4f1\uc758 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc744 \uc18c\uac1c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/a> \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 \uae30\uc874 9\uc774\ub2dd\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc2e4\uc810(RA9) \ubc0f \ud3c9\uade0\uc790\ucc45\uc810(ERA) \ub4f1\uc758 \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc774 \uac16\uace0\uc788\ub358 \ub2e8\uc810\uc744 \uadf9\ubcf5\ud558\uace0, \ud22c\uc218 \uace0\uc720\uc758 \uae30\uc5ec\ub3c4 \ub9cc\uc744 \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uce21\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uace0\uc548\ub41c \uac83\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.\u00a0\uadf8\ub7f0\ub370 \uc5bc\ub9c8 \uc804 \ub354 \ud558\ub4dc\ubcfc \ud0c0\uc784\uc988\uc5d0 Jonathan Judge\uac00 cFIP (FIP in context) \ub77c\ub294 \uc880 \ub354 \uc9c4\ubcf4\ub41c \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc744 \uc18c\uac1c\ud588\ub2e4.<\/a> (\uae30\uc874 FIP constant\uc758 \uc774\ub984\uacfc \ub3d9\uc77c\ud558\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc8fc\uc758\ud558\uc5ec\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.) \uc774 \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc740 \ud22c\uc218\uac00 \ub358\uc9c4 \uc0c1\ud669(context)\uc744 \uc880 \ub354 \uc138\ubd80\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uace0\ub824\ud55c \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc73c\ub85c, \uae30\uc874 \uc2a4\ud0ef\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354 \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uc2e4\uc81c \ud22c\uc218\ub9cc\uc758 \ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \uce21\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uace0\uc548\ub41c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

cFIP\ub294 \uae30\uc874 FIP \uc2a4\ud0ef \uacc4\uc0b0<\/a>\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc774\ubca4\ud2b8 – \ud648\ub7f0, \uc0bc\uc9c4, \ubcfc\ub137 \ub4f1 – \uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c, \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc0c1\ub300\ud55c \ud0c0\uc790\uc758 \uc131\uc801, \ud3ec\uc218\uc758 \ub2a5\ub825, \uad6c\uc7a5 \ud6a8\uacfc, \uc6b0\ud0c0\uc790\/\uc88c\ud0c0\uc790 \uc5ec\ubd80 \ub4f1\uc744 \ub9e4 \ud0c0\uc11d\ub9c8\ub2e4 \ubcf4\uc815\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc774\ub807\uac8c \ubcf4\uc815\ud558\uc5ec \uc5bb\uc5b4\uc9c4 \uc2a4\ud0ef \uac12\uc744 \ud3c9\uade0\uac12\uc73c\ub85c \ube7c\uace0 \ud45c\uc900\ud3b8\ucc28\ub85c \ub098\ub220\uc11c \ud45c\uc900 \uc815\uaddc\ud654\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub807\uac8c \uc5bb\uc5b4\uc9c4 z-value<\/a> \uac12\uc744 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud3c9\uade0 100, \ud45c\uc900\ud3b8\ucc28 15 \uc2a4\ucf00\uc77c\ub85c \ubcc0\ud658\ud558\uba74 \ucd5c\uc885 cFIP \uc2a4\ud0ef \uac12\uc774 \uc5bb\uc5b4\uc9c4\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ud3c9\uade0\uc801\uc778 \uc120\uc218\ub294 100\uc758 cFIP\ub97c \uac16\uac8c \ub418\uace0, \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub09c \ud22c\uc218\uc77c\uc218\ub85d \uc774\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc740 \uac12\uc744 \uac16\ub294\ub2e4. \uc0c1\uc704 \uc57d 15.9%(1xSigma) \ud22c\uc218\uc778 \uacbd\uc6b0 85\ub97c, \uc0c1\uc704 \uc57d 2.2%(2xSigma) \ud22c\uc218\uc778 \uacbd\uc6b0 70\uc744, \uc0c1\uc704 0.1%(3xSigma) \ud22c\uc218\uc778 \uacbd\uc6b0 55\ub97c \uac16\ub294\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\uc774 cFIP \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc740 \uad6c\uc7a5 \ud6a8\uacfc, \uc0c1\ub300 \ud0c0\uc790, \ud3ec\uc218 \ub2a5\ub825 \ub4f1 \ubaa8\ub4e0 \ud3b8\ud5a5 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \uc138\ubd80\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc815 \ub418\uc5c8\uc73c\ubbc0\ub85c, \uc801\uc740 \uc0d8\ud50c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c \ud2b9\ud788 \ub354 \uc720\uc6a9\ud558\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c, \ud604\uc7ac \ud22c\uc218\uc758 \ud37c\ud3ec\uba3c\uc2a4\ub97c \uc124\uba85\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4\uc640 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud574\ub2f9 \ud22c\uc218 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud558\ub294 \uc815\ub3c4\uac00 \ubaa8\ub450 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub098\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ud22c\uc218\uc758 \uc2dc\uc98c cFIP\ub294 \ub3d9\uc77c \uc2dc\uc98c\uc758 \ud0c0\uc11d\ub2f9 RE24<\/a>\uc640\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218(Descriptive), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ub2e4\uc74c \uc2dc\uc98c\uc758 \ud0c0\uc11d\ub2f9 RE24\uc640\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218(Predictive)\uac00 \ubaa8\ub450 .54\ub77c\ub294 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \uc218\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \ubfd0\ub9cc \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ub2e4\uc74c \uc2dc\uc98c\uc758 \ud0c0\uc11d\ub2f9 RE24\uc640\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uace0(.54), \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc758 \uc5f0\ub3c4\ubcc4 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218\ub3c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uac8c(.54) \ub098\ud0c0\ub09c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 cFIP \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc740 \uae30\uc874 \ub2e4\ub978 \uc2a4\ud0ef\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud6e8\uc52c \ub354\u00a0\uc2e4\uc81c \ud22c\uc218\uc758 \uc2e4\ub825(talent)\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc798 \ubc18\uc601\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub77c\uace0 \ud574\uc11d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. (\uc544\ub798 \ud45c \ucc38\uc870)<\/p>\n\n\n<\/colgroup>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Stats<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nDescriptive<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPredictive<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nDifferential<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
cFIP<\/td>\n0.54<\/td>\n0.54<\/td>\n0.00<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
SIERA<\/td>\n0.56<\/td>\n0.31<\/td>\n0.24<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
kwERA<\/td>\n0.54<\/td>\n0.28<\/td>\n0.26<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
xFIP<\/td>\n0.59<\/td>\n0.30<\/td>\n0.29<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
xFIP-<\/td>\n0.60<\/td>\n0.30<\/td>\n0.30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
FIP<\/td>\n0.71<\/td>\n0.23<\/td>\n0.49<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
FIP-<\/td>\n0.72<\/td>\n0.22<\/td>\n0.50<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ERA<\/td>\n0.88<\/td>\n0.09<\/td>\n0.79<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ERA-<\/td>\n0.89<\/td>\n0.09<\/td>\n0.80<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
RA9<\/td>\n0.90<\/td>\n0.08<\/td>\n0.82<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \u00a0\uc9c0\ub09c 2014 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc758 cFIP\uac00 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub0ac\ub358 \ud22c\uc218\ub294 \ub204\uad6c\uc77c\uae4c? \uae30\uc874 FIP- \uc2a4\ud0ef\uacfc\uc758 \ube44\uad50\ub97c \uc704\ud574, \uc606\uc5d0 FIP- \uac12\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0b4\uc5c8\uc73c\ubbc0\ub85c \ucc38\uace0\ud558\uc790.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Rank<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nPlayer<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\ncFIP<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nFIP-<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\nIP<\/strong><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
1<\/td>\nClayton Kershaw<\/td>\n57<\/td>\n51<\/td>\n198.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
2<\/td>\nChris Sale<\/td>\n63<\/td>\n66<\/td>\n174.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
3<\/td>\nCorey Kluber<\/td>\n66<\/td>\n64<\/td>\n235.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
4<\/td>\nYu Darvish<\/td>\n66<\/td>\n71<\/td>\n144.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
5<\/td>\nMax Scherzer<\/td>\n68<\/td>\n74<\/td>\n220.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
6<\/td>\nPhil Hughes<\/td>\n70<\/td>\n76<\/td>\n209.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
7<\/td>\nDavid Price<\/td>\n70<\/td>\n73<\/td>\n248.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
8<\/td>\nFelix Hernandez<\/td>\n72<\/td>\n70<\/td>\n236.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
9<\/td>\nYusmeiro Petit<\/td>\n73<\/td>\n81<\/td>\n117.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10<\/td>\nJon Lester<\/td>\n75<\/td>\n70<\/td>\n219.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
11<\/td>\nJake Arrieta<\/td>\n77<\/td>\n60<\/td>\n156.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
12<\/td>\nCarlos Carrasco<\/td>\n78<\/td>\n88<\/td>\n134.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
13<\/td>\nStephen Strasburg<\/td>\n78<\/td>\n79<\/td>\n215.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
14<\/td>\nCollin McHugh<\/td>\n79<\/td>\n82<\/td>\n154.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
15<\/td>\nMasahiro Tanaka<\/td>\n79<\/td>\n95<\/td>\n136.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
16<\/td>\nMadison Bumgarner<\/td>\n81<\/td>\n89<\/td>\n217.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
17<\/td>\nZack Greinke<\/td>\n82<\/td>\n85<\/td>\n202.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
18<\/td>\nAnibal Sanchez<\/td>\n84<\/td>\n70<\/td>\n126.0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
19<\/td>\nJose Quintana<\/td>\n84<\/td>\n72<\/td>\n200.1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
20<\/td>\nJordan Zimmermann<\/td>\n84<\/td>\n72<\/td>\n199.2<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \ud22c\uc218\uc758 \uc2e4\ub825\uc744 \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c kwERA, FIP, xFIP, pFIP, SIERA, TIPS \ub4f1\uc758 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc744 \uc18c\uac1c\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub4e4\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 \uae30\uc874 9\uc774\ub2dd\ub2f9 \ud3c9\uade0\uc2e4\uc810(RA9) \ubc0f \ud3c9\uade0\uc790\ucc45\uc810(ERA) \ub4f1\uc758 \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc774 \uac16\uace0\uc788\ub358 \ub2e8\uc810\uc744 \uadf9\ubcf5\ud558\uace0, \ud22c\uc218 \uace0\uc720\uc758 \uae30\uc5ec\ub3c4 \ub9cc\uc744 \uc815\ud655\ud558\uac8c \uce21\uc815\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uace0\uc548\ub41c \uac83\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4.\u00a0\uadf8\ub7f0\ub370 \uc5bc\ub9c8 \uc804 \ub354 \ud558\ub4dc\ubcfc \ud0c0\uc784\uc988\uc5d0 Jonathan Judge\uac00 cFIP (FIP in context) \ub77c\ub294 \uc880 \ub354 \uc9c4\ubcf4\ub41c \uc2a4\ud0ef\uc744 \uc18c\uac1c\ud588\ub2e4. (\uae30\uc874 FIP … \ub354 \uc77d\uae30<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[309],"tags":[84,51,214,215,216,26,217,218,219,220,221,222,223,224,93,225,226,227,184,185,96,228,187,111],"class_list":["post-1956","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-pitching","tag-era","tag-fip","tag-kwera","tag-pfip","tag-ra9","tag-re24","tag-siera","tag-tips","tag-xfip","tag-220","tag-221","tag-222","tag-223","tag-224","tag-93","tag-225","tag-226","tag-227","tag-184","tag-185","tag-96","tag-228","tag-187","tag-111"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1956","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1956"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1956\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1956"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1956"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1956"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}