{"id":2204,"date":"2015-06-12T22:48:52","date_gmt":"2015-06-12T13:48:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=2204"},"modified":"2015-06-12T22:48:52","modified_gmt":"2015-06-12T13:48:52","slug":"%ec%b6%94%ec%8b%a0%ec%88%98%ec%9d%98-3%eb%a3%a8-%ec%86%a1%ea%b5%ac%eb%8a%94-%ec%a0%95%eb%a7%90-%eb%ac%b4%eb%aa%a8%ed%96%88%eb%82%98","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=2204","title":{"rendered":"\ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uc758 3\ub8e8 \uc1a1\uad6c\ub294 \uc815\ub9d0 \ubb34\ubaa8\ud588\ub098?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\t\t\t\t\uc9c0\ub09c 11\uc77c, \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc640 \uc624\ud074\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uacbd\uae30. \ubca4 \uc870\ube0c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc548\ud0c0\ub97c \ucce4\uc744 \ub54c \uc6b0\uc775\uc218 \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\ub294 3\ub8e8\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\ub294 1\ub8e8 \uc8fc\uc790\ub97c \uc544\uc6c3\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uacf5\uc744 3\ub8e8\ub85c \uc1a1\uad6c\ud588\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \uadf8\ub294 3\ub8e8 \uc8fc\uc790\ub97c \uc544\uc6c3\uc2dc\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uace0, \uc774 \uc1a1\uad6c\ub294 \uc5ed\uc804\ud328\uc758 \ubc1c\ud310\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7f0\ub370\u00a0\ub2f9\uc2dc\u00a0\ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uc758 \uc1a1\uad6c \ud310\ub2e8\uc740 \ud604\uba85\ud588\uc744\uae4c? \uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574\ubcf4\uc790.<\/p>\n<p>\uc0c1\ud669\uc740 8\ud68c\ub9d0 1\uc544\uc6c3 \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uac00 4-2\ub85c \uc55e\uc11c\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubca4 \uc870\ube0c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc548\ud0c0\ub97c \ucce4\uc744 \ub54c \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uac00 \ud0c0\uad6c\ub97c \ud3c9\ubc94\ud558\uac8c \ucc98\ub9ac\ud588\ub2e4\uba74, \uc8fc\uc790\ub294 3\ub8e8\/1\ub8e8\uac00 \ub418\uc5c8\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. <a href=\"http:\/\/baseballgraphs.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\ubca0\uc774\uc2a4\ubcfc \uadf8\ub798\ud504<\/a>\uc5d0 \uc758\ud558\uba74 \uc774 \ub54c \uc624\ud074\ub79c\ub4dc <a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=491\">\uae30\ub300 \uc2b9\ub960<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=491\">(Win expectancy)<\/a>\uc740 .277\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc18\ub300\ub85c, \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc758 \uc2b9\ub960\uc740 1-.277=.723\uc778 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\ub9cc\uc57d \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uac00 3\ub8e8\ub85c \uc1a1\uad6c\ub97c \ud574\uc11c \uc8fc\uc790\ub97c \uc544\uc6c3\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4\uba74 \uc5b4\ub560\uc744\uae4c? \uadf8\ub7fc \uc8fc\uc790 2\ub8e8 2\uc544\uc6c3 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \uc2b9\ub960\uc740 \ubb34\ub824 .875\uc774\ub2e4. \uc989, \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uc758 \uc1a1\uad6c \uc131\uacf5\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\ub294 \uae30\ub300 \uc2b9\ub960\uc744 .875-.723=+.152 \uc99d\uac00\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \ubc18\ub300\ub85c 3\ub8e8\ub85c \uc1a1\uad6c\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc8fc\uc790\ub97c \uc544\uc6c3\uc2dc\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4\uba74? \uadf8\ub7fc 1\uc544\uc6c3 \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 \uc720\uc9c0\ub418\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc8fc\uc790\ub294 3\ub8e8\/2\ub8e8\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774 \ub54c \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \uc2b9\ub960\uc740 .664\uc774\ub2e4. \uc989, .664-.723=-.059 \ub9cc\ud07c \uc624\ud788\ub824 \uac10\uc18c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \ub2f9\uc2dc \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uc758 \uc1a1\uad6c\ub294 \ud300\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \ud06c\uac8c \ubcc0\ud654\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uac83\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7fc \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\ub294 \uc5b4\ub290\uc815\ub3c4 \uc131\uacf5\ub960\uc744 \uae30\ub300\ud574\uc57c 3\ub8e8\ub85c\uc758 \uc1a1\uad6c\uac00 \uc801\uc808\ud558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uae4c? \ucd5c\uc18c \uc131\uacf5\ub960 30%\uba74 +\uc758 \uae30\ub300 \uc2b9\ub960\uc744 \uc5bb\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4( .152 x 0.3 -.059 x 0.7 = .004 ). \uc989, \ub2f9\uc2dc \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c 30% \uc774\uc0c1\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ud310\ub2e8\ub418\uba74\u00a0\ucda9\ubd84\ud788 3\ub8e8 \uc1a1\uad6c\ub294 \ud574\ubcfc\ub9cc\ud55c \uac83\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uc758 \uc1a1\uad6c \ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \uac10\uc548\ud588\uc744 \ub54c \uadf8\ub9ac \ubb34\ubaa8\ud55c \ud589\uc704\ub77c\uace0 \ubcfc \uc218\ub294 \uc5c6\uaca0\ub2e4.\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc9c0\ub09c 11\uc77c, \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uc640 \uc624\ud074\ub79c\ub4dc\uc758 \uacbd\uae30. \ubca4 \uc870\ube0c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc548\ud0c0\ub97c \ucce4\uc744 \ub54c \uc6b0\uc775\uc218 \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\ub294 3\ub8e8\ub85c \ud5a5\ud558\ub294 1\ub8e8 \uc8fc\uc790\ub97c \uc544\uc6c3\uc2dc\ud0a4\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uacf5\uc744 3\ub8e8\ub85c \uc1a1\uad6c\ud588\ub2e4. \uacb0\uacfc\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, \uadf8\ub294 3\ub8e8 \uc8fc\uc790\ub97c \uc544\uc6c3\uc2dc\ud0a4\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uace0, \uc774 \uc1a1\uad6c\ub294 \uc5ed\uc804\ud328\uc758 \ubc1c\ud310\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7f0\ub370\u00a0\ub2f9\uc2dc\u00a0\ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uc758 \uc1a1\uad6c \ud310\ub2e8\uc740 \ud604\uba85\ud588\uc744\uae4c? \uc774\ub97c \ud655\uc778\ud574\ubcf4\uc790. \uc0c1\ud669\uc740 8\ud68c\ub9d0 1\uc544\uc6c3 \ud14d\uc0ac\uc2a4\uac00 4-2\ub85c \uc55e\uc11c\uace0 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ubca4 \uc870\ube0c\ub9ac\uc2a4\ud2b8\uac00 \uc548\ud0c0\ub97c \ucce4\uc744 \ub54c \ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uac00 \ud0c0\uad6c\ub97c \ud3c9\ubc94\ud558\uac8c \ucc98\ub9ac\ud588\ub2e4\uba74, \uc8fc\uc790\ub294 &#8230; <a title=\"\ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uc758 3\ub8e8 \uc1a1\uad6c\ub294 \uc815\ub9d0 \ubb34\ubaa8\ud588\ub098?\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=2204\" aria-label=\"\ucd94\uc2e0\uc218\uc758 3\ub8e8 \uc1a1\uad6c\ub294 \uc815\ub9d0 \ubb34\ubaa8\ud588\ub098?\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uc138\uc694\">\ub354 \uc77d\uae30<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1709],"tags":[361,334,362,363,246],"class_list":["post-2204","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-situational","tag-win-expectancy","tag-334","tag-362","tag-363","tag-246"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2204","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2204"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2204\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2204"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2204"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2204"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}