{"id":3694,"date":"2017-08-16T21:58:54","date_gmt":"2017-08-16T12:58:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=3694"},"modified":"2017-08-16T21:58:54","modified_gmt":"2017-08-16T12:58:54","slug":"%ec%95%a0%eb%9f%b0-%ec%a0%80%ec%a7%80%ec%9d%98-%ed%9b%84%eb%b0%98%ea%b8%b0-%eb%b6%80%ec%a7%84%ea%b3%bc-%ed%8f%89%ea%b7%a0%ec%9c%bc%eb%a1%9c%ec%9d%98-%ed%9a%8c%ea%b7%80regression-toward-the-mean","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=3694","title":{"rendered":"\uc560\ub7f0 \uc800\uc9c0\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ubd80\uc9c4\uacfc \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0(regression toward the mean)"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"getty embed image\" style=\"background-color: #fff; display: inline-block; font-family: Roboto,sans-serif; color: #a7a7a7; font-size: 11px; width: 100%; max-width: 594px;\">\n<div style=\"overflow: hidden; position: relative; height: 0; padding: 66.66667% 0 0 0; width: 100%;\"><iframe loading=\"lazy\" style=\"display: inline-block; position: absolute; top: 0; left: 0; width: 100%; height: 100%; margin: 0;\" src=\"\/\/embed.gettyimages.com\/embed\/862562308?et=RyFHgJPzR_paKorRM_726g&amp;tld=com&amp;sig=CI5o8y3g-ZB07waeWxRTFyDyL384j_EE9W_HEQMcIU4=&amp;caption=true&amp;ver=1\" width=\"594\" height=\"396\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\uc560\ub7f0 \uc800\uc9c0\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \uc131\uc801\uc774 \uc800\uc870\ud558\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 .329\/.448\/.691 \ud0c0\uaca9 \uc2ac\ub798\uc2dc\ub77c\uc778\uacfc 30\uac1c\uc758 \ud648\ub7f0\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. <a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=3603\">\uc2e0\uc778\uc655\uc740 \ubb3c\ub860 \uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78\ub9ac\uadf8\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\ub825\ud55c MVP \ud6c4\ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4.<\/a> \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uba70, 8\uc6d4 16\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uaca8\uc6b0 .175\/.344\/.369\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\u00a0\uadf8\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc77c\uae4c? \ud639\uc2dc <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Regression_toward_the_mean\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0(regression toward the mean) \ud604\uc0c1<\/a>\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744\uae4c?<\/p>\n<p>\ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0 \ud604\uc0c1\uc774\ub780, \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \uad00\uce21\uc5d0\uc11c \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc778 \uac12\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \ubcc0\uc218\uac00, \ub2e4\uc74c \uad00\uce21\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc880 \ub354 \ud3c9\uade0\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uac12\uc744 \uac16\ub294 \ud1b5\uacc4\uc801 \uacbd\ud5a5\uc131\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8\uc5d0 \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc778 \uac12\uc740 \uc6b4\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc694\uc778\uc774 \uacb0\ud569\ub41c \uacb0\uacfc\uc774\uba70, \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ub2e4\uc74c \uce21\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc6b4\uc801\uc778 \uc694\uc18c\uac00 \ub2e4\uc2dc \ud3c9\uade0\uc5d0 \uac00\uae4c\uc6cc\uc9c0\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc560\ub7f0 \uc800\uc9c0\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc744 \ud3c9\uade0 \ud68c\uadc0\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744\uae4c? 2016\ub144 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc5d0\uc11c \ud3c9\uade0 \ud68c\uadc0 \ud604\uc0c1\uc774 \uc5bc\ub9c8\ub098 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub294\uc9c0 \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uc790. \uc804\ubc18\uae30\uc640 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ubaa8\ub450 100\ud0c0\uc11d \uc774\uc0c1\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ud0c0\uc790\ub97c \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud588\uc744 \ub54c, \uc804\ubc18\uae30\uc640 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 wRC+ \uac04\uc758 \uc0c1\uad00\uacc4\uc218\ub294 \uaca8\uc6b0 .26\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc758\uc678\ub85c \uc0c1\uad00\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \uc804\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \uc544\ubb34\ub9ac \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub0ac\ub358 \ud0c0\uc790\ub77c \ud560\uc9c0\ub77c\ub3c4, \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \uc798\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ubcf4\uc7a5\uc740 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc560\ucd08\uc5d0 \ud0c0\uc790\uc758 \uc0dd\uc0b0\uc131(wRC+)\uc774 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ubd80\ubd84 \uc6b4\uc5d0 \uc88c\uc6b0\ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uc880 \ub354 \uad6c\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, 2016\ub144 \uc804\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c wRC+\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud55c \ud0c0\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 wRC+\ub97c \uc0b4\ud3b4\ubcf4\uc790.<\/p>\n<table width=\"211\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td width=\"95\"><strong>\uc804\ubc18\uae30 wRC+<\/strong><\/td>\n<td width=\"116\"><strong>\ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 wRC+<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>20~39<\/td>\n<td>87<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>40~59<\/td>\n<td>87<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>60~79<\/td>\n<td>89<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>80~99<\/td>\n<td>96<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>100~119<\/td>\n<td>103<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>120~139<\/td>\n<td>107<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>140~159<\/td>\n<td>112<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>160~179<\/td>\n<td>126<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>180~200<\/td>\n<td>136<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0 \ud604\uc0c1\uc774 \ub69c\ub837\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uc804\ubc18\uae30 20~39 \uc0ac\uc774\uc758 wRC+\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 \ud0c0\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc740 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ud3c9\uade0 87\ub85c \uae09\uc0c1\uc2b9\ud588\ub2e4. \ubc18\uba74, 180~200 \ubc94\uc704\uc758 wRC+\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub358 \ub9ac\uadf8 \ucd5c\uace0 \ud0c0\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \uaca8\uc6b0 136 wRC+\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc804\ubc18\uae30 \uc131\uc801\uc774 \ub9e4\uc6b0 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud558\uac70\ub098 \ub610\ub294 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub098\ub2e4 \ud560\uc9c0\ub77c\ub3c4, \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uc608\uce21\ud560 \ub54c \uc0c1\ub2f9\ubd80\ubd84 \uc804\ubc18\uac00\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c \ud68c\uadc0\uc2dc\ucf1c \uc608\uce21\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc560\ub7f0 \uc800\uc9c0\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \ubd84\uc11d\ud574\ubcf4\uc790. \uadf8\ub294 2017\ub144 \uc804\ubc18\uae30 198\uc758 wRC+\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. 26%\ub97c \uc81c\uc678\ud55c \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 74%\ub97c \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c \ud68c\uadc0\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba74, wRC+\ub294 \uaca8\uc6b0 125\uac00 \ub41c\ub2e4(= 0.74 x 100 + 198 x 0.26). \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uadf8\uc758 \uc804\ubc18\uae30 \uc131\uc801\uacfc \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0\ub9cc\uc744 \uac00\uc815\ud588\uc744 \ub54c, \uadf8\uac00 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 \uae30\ub85d\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ub418\ub294 wRC+\ub294 \uace0\uc791 125\uc778 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc560\ucd08\uc5d0 \uadf8\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \uae30\ub300\uce58\uac00 \ub108\ubb34 \ub192\uc558\uc74c\uc744 \uc54c\uac8c \ub41c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098, \uadf8\ub7fc\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uadf8\uc758 \ud604\uc7ac\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 87 wRC+\ub294 \ub108\ubb34 \ub0ae\ub2e4.\t\t<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc560\ub7f0 \uc800\uc9c0\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \uc131\uc801\uc774 \uc800\uc870\ud558\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub294 \uc804\ubc18\uae30\uc5d0 .329\/.448\/.691 \ud0c0\uaca9 \uc2ac\ub798\uc2dc\ub77c\uc778\uacfc 30\uac1c\uc758 \ud648\ub7f0\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2e0\uc778\uc655\uc740 \ubb3c\ub860 \uc544\uba54\ub9ac\uce78\ub9ac\uadf8\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \uac15\ub825\ud55c MVP \ud6c4\ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ubd80\uc9c4\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uba70, 8\uc6d4 16\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uaca8\uc6b0 .175\/.344\/.369\uc758 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.\u00a0\uadf8\uac00 \ubd80\uc9c4\ud55c \uc774\uc720\ub294 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc77c\uae4c? \ud639\uc2dc \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0(regression toward the mean) \ud604\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uba85\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744\uae4c? \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0 \ud604\uc0c1\uc774\ub780, \uccab \ubc88\uc9f8 \uad00\uce21\uc5d0\uc11c \uadf9\ub2e8\uc801\uc778 \uac12\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \ubcc0\uc218\uac00, &#8230; <a title=\"\uc560\ub7f0 \uc800\uc9c0\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ubd80\uc9c4\uacfc \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0(regression toward the mean)\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=3694\" aria-label=\"\uc560\ub7f0 \uc800\uc9c0\uc758 \ud6c4\ubc18\uae30 \ubd80\uc9c4\uacfc \ud3c9\uade0\uc73c\ub85c\uc758 \ud68c\uadc0(regression toward the mean)\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uc138\uc694\">\ub354 \uc77d\uae30<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[732,4,710,733,556,734],"class_list":["post-3694","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research","tag-regression-toward-the-mean","tag-wrc","tag-710","tag-733","tag-556","tag-734"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3694","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3694"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3694\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}