{"id":8523,"date":"2025-12-09T21:13:30","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T12:13:30","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=8523"},"modified":"2025-12-09T21:13:30","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T12:13:30","slug":"2025%eb%85%84-%ec%b5%9c%ea%b3%a0%ec%9d%98-mlb-%ed%94%84%eb%a1%9c%ec%a0%9d%ec%85%98-%ec%8b%9c%ec%8a%a4%ed%85%9c%ec%9d%80-%eb%ac%b4%ec%97%87%ec%9d%b4%ec%97%88%ec%9d%84%ea%b9%8c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=8523","title":{"rendered":"2025\ub144 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 MLB \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\uc158 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc774\uc5c8\uc744\uae4c"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\t\t\t\t\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2025\ub144 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\uc158 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc774\uc5c8\uc744\uae4c. <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"\ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 \uacf5\uac1c\ud55c \ub9ac\ubdf0 (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.fangraphs.com\/reviewing-oopsys-debut-season\/\" target=\"_blank\">\ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 \uacf5\uac1c\ud55c \ub9ac\ubdf0<\/a>\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc62c\ud574\ub3c4 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\ub4e4\uc774 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc744 \ud3bc\ucce4\uace0, \uadf8\uc911 <a href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=7889\">\uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c OOPSY<\/a>\uac00 \uccab \uc2dc\uc98c\uc744 \uce58\ub800\ub2e4. OOPSY\ub294 \ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 \uc790\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac1c\ubc1c\ud55c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c, \ud0c0\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ubc30\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud53c\ub4dc, \ud22c\uc218\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 Stuff+\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774\ub2e4. \ube44\uad50 \ub300\uc0c1\uc774 \ub41c \ub2e4\ub978 \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c\ub294 \uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uc5b4\uc628 Steamer, \uc7a5\uae30 \uc608\uce21 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\uac00 \uac15\uc810\uc778 ZiPS, \uc2a4\ud0ef\uce90\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uae30\ubc18 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \uadf9\ub300\ud654\ud55c THE BAT X, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \uac00\uc911 \uc885\ud569\ud558\ub294 ATC \ub4f1\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\uc158 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \ub098\uc774 \uace1\uc120, \ub9ac\uadf8 \ud658\uacbd \uc7ac\uc870\uc815, \ub9c8\uc774\ub108\ub9ac\uadf8 \uc131\uc801 \ud658\uc0b0, \ud68c\uadc0 \ubc29\uc2dd \ub4f1 \uc218\ub9ce\uc740 \uc694\uc18c\uac00 \uacb0\ud569\ub418\ub294 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uad6c\uc870\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc5d0 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \ud2b9\uc815 \ubcc0\uc218\ub97c \ud558\ub098 \ub123\uc5c8\ub2e4\uace0 \ud574\uc11c \uc88b\uc740 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc7a5\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ud3c9\uac00\ub41c OOPSY\ub294 \uacfc\uc5f0 \uc5b4\ub290 \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \uc704\uce58\uc5d0 \uc788\uc5c8\uc744\uae4c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\ub294 \ud1b0 \ud0f1\uace0(Tom Tango)\uac00 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c \uc808\ucc28\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c 2025\ub144 \uc131\uc801\uc744 \uae30\ubc18\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \ube44\uad50\ud588\ub2e4. \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774 \ub3d9\uc77c\ud55c \ub9ac\uadf8 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uac00\uc815\ud558\ub3c4\ub85d \uc7ac\uc2a4\ucf00\uc77c\ub9c1\ud55c \ub4a4, RMSE\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc608\uce21 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\ub97c \ud3c9\uac00\ud558\ub294 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud788 \ud765\ubbf8\ub86d\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc6b0\uc120 \uc804\uccb4 \uc0d8\ud50c \uae30\uc900\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uba74, \ud22c\uc218\uac00 \ud5c8\uc6a9\ud55c wOBA\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 Steamer\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc740 RMSE(0.054481)\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud558\uba70 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc88b\uc740 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ud0c0\uc790 wOBA \uc608\uce21\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 ZiPS\uac00 0.034985\ub85c 1\uc704\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uac04 \ucc28\uc774\ub294 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub450 \ubaa8\ub378\uc774 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc131\ub2a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900 \uac83\uc740 \ubd84\uba85\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\ub294 \uc810\uc740 OOPSY\uc758 \uc704\uce58\uc600\ub2e4. OOPSY\ub294 \ud22c\uc218 RMSE\uac00 0.054598, \ud0c0\uc790 RMSE\uac00 0.035167\ub85c \uac01\uac01 \uc0c1\uc704\uad8c\uc744 \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uccab\ud574 \ubaa8\ub378\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud558\uba74, Steamer\u00b7ZiPS \uac19\uc740 \uc804\ud1b5 \uac15\uc790\ub4e4\uacfc \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc0c1 \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\ub77c\ub294 \uc758\ubbf8\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uc21c \ubaa8\ub378(naive) \uc608\uce21\uacfc\uc758 \uc131\ub2a5 \ucc28\uc774(0.02135, 0.02349)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc704\uad8c\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba70, \ub8e8\ud0a4\ub97c \ub530\ub85c \ud3c9\uac00\ud588\uc744 \ub54c\ub3c4 Steamer \ub2e4\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \ub192\uc740 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\ub97c \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubcc0\uc218\uc640 \uc811\uadfc\ubc95\uc774 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc744 \uac16\uace0 \uc788\uc74c\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\ub294 \ub300\ubaa9\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc62c\ud574\ub3c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub6f0\uc5b4\ub09c \ubaa8\ub378\uc740 \ub2e8\uc77c \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 \uc9c1\uc811 \ube44\uad50\ud55c \uacb0\uacfc\ub294 \uba85\ud655\ud558\ub2e4. OOPSY, Steamer, ZiPS, THE BAT X\uc758 \uc608\uce21\uc744 \ub2e8\uc21c \ud3c9\uade0\ud55c composite \ubaa8\ub378\uc774 \ud22c\uc218 RMSE 0.054469, \ud0c0\uc790 RMSE 0.034570\uc73c\ub85c \ubaa8\ub4e0 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c \uc911 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub0ae\uc740 \uc624\ub958\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \ud3c9\uade0 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\ub85c\uc758 \uc57d\uc810\uc774 \uc790\uc5f0\uc2a4\ub7fd\uac8c \uc0c1\uc1c4\ub418\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc778\ub370, \uc774\ub294 \uc608\uce21 \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc624\ub798\uc804\ubd80\ud130 \ubc18\ubcf5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc785\uc99d\ub41c \uc6d0\ub9ac\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uc774\ub7f0 \ub9e5\ub77d\uc5d0\uc11c OOPSY\uc758 \ub370\ubdd4 \uc2dc\uc98c\uc740 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc758\ubbf8 \uc788\uac8c \ub2e4\uac00\uc628\ub2e4. OOPSY\ub294 \ub2e8\ub3c5 \uc131\ub2a5\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc0c1\uc704\uad8c\uc5d0 \uc62c\ub790\uace0, composite \ubaa8\ub378\uc758 \uad6c\uc131 \uc694\uc18c\ub85c\uc11c\ub3c4 \ud655\uc2e4\ud55c \uae30\uc5ec\ub97c \ud588\ub2e4. \uc544\uc9c1 \ubc1c\uc804\uc2dc\ud0ac \uc5ec\uc9c0\uac00 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uccab\ud574 \uacb0\uacfc\ub9cc\uc73c\ub85c\ub3c4 \uc55e\uc73c\ub85c \ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uc758 \ud575\uc2ec \uc608\uce21 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc73c\ub85c \uc790\ub9ac \uc7a1\uc744 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \ucda9\ubd84\ud788 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\uacb0\ub860\uc740 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud558\ub2e4. 2025\ub144 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\uc158 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \ud2b9\uc815 \ud558\ub098\uac00 \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c, \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc744 \ud568\uaed8 \ud65c\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \uc811\uadfc\uc774\uc5c8\ub2e4. Steamer\uc758 \uc548\uc815\uc131, ZiPS\uc758 \uc815\uad50\ud568, THE BAT X\uc758 \uc2a4\ud0ef\uce90\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uae30\ubc18 \uc811\uadfc, ATC\uc758 \uac00\uc911 \ud3c9\uade0 \ubc29\uc2dd, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 OOPSY\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubcc0\uc218 \ud65c\uc6a9\uc740 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc11c\ub85c \ub2e4\ub978 \uac15\uc810\uc744 \uac00\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud558\ub098\ub9cc \uace0\uc9d1\ud558\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ubaa8\ub378\uc744 \uc885\ud569\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc14\ub77c\ubcf4\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc815\ud655\ud55c \ubbf8\ub798\ub97c \uadf8\ub9ac\ub294 \ubc29\ubc95\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc740 \uc62c\ud574\ub3c4 \ubcc0\ud568\uc774 \uc5c6\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2025\ub144 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\uc158 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc774\uc5c8\uc744\uae4c. \ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 \uacf5\uac1c\ud55c \ub9ac\ubdf0\ub97c \ubcf4\uba74 \uc62c\ud574\ub3c4 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc608\uce21 \ubaa8\ub378\ub4e4\uc774 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc744 \ud3bc\ucce4\uace0, \uadf8\uc911 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c OOPSY\uac00 \uccab \uc2dc\uc98c\uc744 \uce58\ub800\ub2e4. OOPSY\ub294 \ud32c\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 \uc790\uccb4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac1c\ubc1c\ud55c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c, \ud0c0\uc790\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 \ubc30\ud2b8 \uc2a4\ud53c\ub4dc, \ud22c\uc218\uc5d0\uac8c\ub294 Stuff+\ub97c \ud65c\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc774 \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774\ub2e4. \ube44\uad50 \ub300\uc0c1\uc774 \ub41c \ub2e4\ub978 \ubaa8\ub378\ub85c\ub294 \uc624\ub7ab\ub3d9\uc548 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub418\uc5b4\uc628 Steamer, \uc7a5\uae30 \uc608\uce21 \uc815\ud655\ub3c4\uac00 \uac15\uc810\uc778 ZiPS, \uc2a4\ud0ef\uce90\uc2a4\ud2b8 \uae30\ubc18 \ubd84\uc11d\uc744 \uadf9\ub300\ud654\ud55c THE BAT &#8230; <a title=\"2025\ub144 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 MLB \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\uc158 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc774\uc5c8\uc744\uae4c\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/suxism.com\/?p=8523\" aria-label=\"2025\ub144 \ucd5c\uace0\uc758 MLB \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\uc158 \uc2dc\uc2a4\ud15c\uc740 \ubb34\uc5c7\uc774\uc5c8\uc744\uae4c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574 \ub354 \uc790\uc138\ud788 \uc54c\uc544\ubcf4\uc138\uc694\">\ub354 \uc77d\uae30<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[1203,464,61,14,399,1280],"class_list":["post-8523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-research","tag-oopsy","tag-projection-system","tag-steamer","tag-woba","tag-zips","tag-1280"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8523"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8523\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/suxism.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}